Expert Knowledge Elicitation: Subjective but Scientific
Details
Title : Expert Knowledge Elicitation: Subjective but Scientific Author(s): Anthony O'Hagan
Summary
- Describes some protocols on knowledge elicitation from experts, i.e. retrieving subjective knowledge from them, mainly in the form of a subjective probability distribution. The paper goes over common biases, and case studies run by the author during lectures.
Thoughts
What are the connections between this and mechanism design. Can ideas from social choice theory be applied, for e.g. what property to choose in the Gibbard–Satterthwaite theorem, look into systems beyond ordinal voting.
Overall a very accessible paper.